Naugur
Politics, crypto, sports, and more, live now

Get paid every time someone trades your market.

Launch a prediction market on anything, from elections to crypto to sports, in minutes, and earn 30% of every trade it makes. Naugur handles the trading, resolution and payouts, you keep the upside.

Free to apply · Seed a market from $200 · No code required

Will the Fed cut rates this quarter?61¢Bitcoin above $150k by year end?29¢Will Elon Musk top 300 posts this week?44¢Next Democratic nominee: Newsom?18¢Chiefs to win the Super Bowl?14¢Will Trump post 200+ times this week?52¢Ethereum above $6k by year end?37¢Will the Fed cut rates this quarter?61¢Bitcoin above $150k by year end?29¢Will Elon Musk top 300 posts this week?44¢Next Democratic nominee: Newsom?18¢Chiefs to win the Super Bowl?14¢Will Trump post 200+ times this week?52¢Ethereum above $6k by year end?37¢

Your edge, finally earning.

You already have opinions worth backing. Turn them into markets and get paid on the volume they attract.

You keep the upside

Earn 30% of every trading fee your market generates, for as long as it trades. The more action your market sees, the more you make.

We do the hard part

Naugur runs the order matching, pricing, resolution and payouts. You launch the idea; the platform operates it end to end.

Launch in minutes

Write a question, pick a category, set your sources. Once approved it opens for trading the moment you fund it. No code, no contracts.

Your cut
30%

of every trading fee your market makes, paid out automatically, for the life of the market. A market doing real volume pays you while you sleep.

Become a Forecaster

From idea to income in three steps

01

Propose your market

Pick a question people will want to bet on and choose how it resolves.

02

Fund it

Seed it with your own stake, it goes live for trading instantly.

03

Earn on every trade

Collect your share automatically as people buy and sell. Your seed comes back at resolution.

Ready to launch your first market?

Sign in, launch your first market in minutes, and start earning on every trade.

Start earning
The fine print

Launching a market carries a 3% seeding fee on your stake and a $20 flat launch fee, taken once at seed time. Your remaining collateral is not guaranteed to come back in full, you're the market maker: if traders win on your market, their winnings are paid out of your seed. Naugur's fixed-odds model caps any single trader's profit at the amount backing the other side of the market, so no one bet can cost you more than roughly what you put behind the losing outcome, but it can cost you that. A market that sees a lot of one-sided trading can return you less than you seeded; it can also return more, from trading fees and from bets that go your way. Some regions or activity levels may require a one-time identity verification (KYC), you'll be prompted in-app if it applies. To keep every market fair for the people trading it, Forecasters never resolve or trade in their own markets, resolution is always handled by Naugur or its oracle.